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URC Round 14 – Bulls, Stormers and Lions value bets

Saturday’s URC fixtures in South Africa present a good opportunity for handicap-based bets, which, combined, make for a promising accumulator. Altitude and travel are still major factors for touring sides. Munster and Edinburgh should be stronger with returning internationals, which points towards taking the away sides on big handicaps, while the Lions look well placed to cover at Ellis Park.

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Vodacom Bulls v Munster

Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria – Saturday 14:00 SAST

This is one of the biggest matches of the round. Munster were heavily beaten by the Sharks last week but should be significantly stronger with returning Ireland internationals, which makes them far more competitive than that result suggests.

Munster have also won at Loftus before and will target this match, but the Bulls’ set piece, kicking game and altitude advantage usually make Pretoria one of the toughest away trips in the competition.

The Bulls should win, but Munster are good enough to keep this relatively close.

Pick: Munster +16.5 @1.86

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Fidelity SureDrive Lions v Dragons

Ellis Park, Johannesburg – Saturday 16:30 SAST

The Lions have a big opportunity here against one of the lowest-ranked teams in the competition. Ellis Park remains a difficult venue for touring teams, especially late in South African tours when fatigue becomes a factor.

Dragons compete hard but often struggle physically against South African sides, and the Lions’ attacking style usually produces points at home.

If the Lions start fast, this could get away from the visitors.

Pick: Lions -15.5 @1.54

Understanding rugby markets – tries, handicaps and winning margins

DHL Stormers v Edinburgh

DHL Stadium, Cape Town – Saturday 19:00 SAST

Edinburgh were heavily beaten in Johannesburg last week but should be stronger with returning Scotland internationals. Even so, Cape Town is traditionally one of the toughest stops on tour.

The Stormers remain one of the most dangerous attacking teams at home and are still pushing for a top-four finish, which should ensure a strong performance.

The handicap is big, but Edinburgh should be competitive enough to stay within it.

Pick: Edinburgh +25.5 @1.40

URC Saturday accumulator pick

Munster +16.5
Lions -15.5
Edinburgh +25.5

Total odds: 4.01

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URC Round 14 – weekend teams

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