Matchday 17 gets underway on Saturday afternoon with eight fixtures that stretch across the table and offer a mix of short-priced favourites, tight head-to-heads and goal-driven matchups.
Arsenal travel to Everton looking to protect top spot, while Manchester City host West Ham knowing any slip could open the door further. Elsewhere, Newcastle vs Chelsea and Spurs vs Liverpool headline a slate where goals markets continue to dominate the conversation.
Newcastle vs Chelsea (St James’ Park)
Betway price Chelsea at 2.44, Newcastle at 2.90, with the draw at 3.65 and BTTS “Yes” at 1.54. That alone signals how the market expects this game to play out.
Newcastle have conceded in nine straight league matches, a run that has kept their games open regardless of opponent. Chelsea, meanwhile, have tightened up defensively away from home, but remain dangerous in transition. The match-result odds feel compressed, reflecting two sides with contrasting strengths but similar volatility.
With Newcastle’s home intensity and Chelsea’s ability to punish space, backing a winner is less attractive than following the pattern both sides have set this season.
Angle: Both Teams To Score “Yes” @ 1.56
Manchester City vs West Ham (Etihad Stadium)
City are priced at 1.22, with West Ham at 12.00 and the draw 7.60.
This is one of those fixtures where the odds are accurate rather than generous. City’s scoring output at home, combined with West Ham’s struggles at the back, makes the result feel inevitable. That leaves limited upside unless the price is used as part of a multiple.
If you want a secondary angle, the market hints that West Ham may struggle to contribute.
Angle: Manchester City to win @ 1.22, with BTTS “No” @ 1.96 as a more value-shaped alternative.
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Spurs vs Liverpool (Tottenham Hotspur Stadium)
Betway have Liverpool at 1.98, Spurs at 3.70, draw 3.90, with BTTS “Yes” at 1.60.
This fixture has been one of the Premier League’s most reliable sources of goals in recent seasons, which explains why the BTTS price is so short. Tottenham remain unpredictable, while Liverpool’s recent performances have carried more control and cutting edge.
If you’re choosing between markets, the away win offers more upside than a goals line already priced for chaos.
Angle: Liverpool to win @ 1.98
Spurs vs Liverpool – Premier League value pick
Everton vs Arsenal (Hill Dickinson Stadium)
Arsenal are 1.57, Everton 6.40, draw 4.20, with BTTS “No” at 1.71.
Arsenal’s pricing continues to be driven by their defensive record and ability to manage games late, underlined again by a last-minute winner in round 16 against Wolves. Everton have found goals hard to come by against top-half sides, which makes the away win the logical starting point despite the short price. Jack Grealish is available after passing a late fitness test.
If you’re wary of backing another away favourite, the market suggests Arsenal can control this without it becoming end-to-end.
Angle: Arsenal to win @ 1.57, or BTTS “No” @ 1.71
The takeaway
Saturday’s card leans heavily toward goals markets in the tighter fixtures, particularly at St James’ Park. City and Arsenal look reliable but short-priced, best suited to multiples, while Liverpool at Spurs stands out as the clearest single-match value position.
Photo: Justin Setterfield/Getty Images
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