Australia’s eight-wicket victory at the Gabba has turned the Ashes into a one-sided series, and the markets for the Third Test should reflect that dominance. With Pat Cummins expected to return and Mitchell Starc in irresistible form, punters now have a clearer picture of the type of cricket this series is producing, and which markets are becoming the most reliable. See ashes results.
Australia outright remains the anchor
Australia’s 2–0 lead in the Ashes has come through complete control with both bat and ball. Starc’s 10 wickets in Perth and another match-shaping six-wicket haul in Brisbane underline a gap in bowling quality that England have not bridged.
England’s batting has twice collapsed under pace and bounce, and their shift from attacking cricket to desperate survival in Brisbane showed the mental fatigue of chasing games. With Cummins likely to return, Australia outright remains the clearest and most stable pre-match angle.
See Also: Cricket live betting – reading momentum in real time
England batting markets: Unders continue to trend
Across the first two Tests of the Ashes, England have been bowled out for 172, 164, 334 and 241, losing 40 wickets in under 270 overs. Their inability to handle sustained hostile bowling makes under-based markets attractive:
England first-innings runs under
Top England batter under thresholds
Fall of wicket early markets (1st–3rd wicket)
Even England’s one moment of stability, Stokes and Jacks’ 96-run stand, was a defensive outlier rather than a sign of turnaround.
Bowler markets: Starc and Cummins shape the value
Starc has been the standout player of the series. His ability to swing both the new and pink ball, and run through England’s top order repeatedly makes him a high value market. Keep and eye out for Mitchell Starc top Australia bowler and Starc Player of the Match.
Cummins’ likely return strengthens the attack further and may split wickets slightly, but also increases pressure on England.
For England, no consistent wicket-taker has emerged. Jofra Archer remains dangerous in spells, but the reliability lies firmly with Australian bowlers.
The Playbook: How to bet on cricket
Century and 50 markets:
Across two Tests, only one England century (Root) has been scored. Surfaces have encouraged movement and bounce, not batting stability.
Punters should look closely at:
Team 100s – Under
Total 50s – Under when available
The style of cricket and series momentum both favour wicket-heavy outcomes.
MORE: Understanding cricket markets – runs, wickets and overs
Series markets: Australia 4–1 or 5–0 in play
With England unable to hold pressure for extended periods and already 2–0 down, correct score markets enter focus. Australia 5–0 is realistic based on current patterns.
Photo: Philip Brown/Getty Images
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