Liverpool return to Anfield needing a response as they host Galatasaray in a decisive UEFA Champions League second leg after a 1-0 defeat in Istanbul.
Liverpool are priced at 1.31 to win on the night, with Galatasaray at 6.80 and the draw at 5.80.
Goals are expected. Over 2.5 sits at 1.33, reflecting Liverpool’s attacking approach at home. BTTS Yes at 1.58 suggests both sides have credible scoring threats.
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Form and context
Liverpool enter the second leg trailing after conceding early in Istanbul, where Mario Lemina’s goal secured a 1-0 win for Galatasaray. That result also mirrored their league-phase defeat earlier in the season.
Arne Slot’s side arrive under pressure. Liverpool have won just one of their last four matches in all competitions and dropped points in a 1-1 draw with Tottenham Hotspur in their most recent Premier League outing.
Despite that dip, Anfield remains a strong platform in Europe. Liverpool have won 15 of their last 19 UEFA home matches and have kept five clean sheets in their last six European home games against Turkish opposition.
Historically, Liverpool have recovered from first-leg deficits of this nature, progressing from nine of 13 ties after losing the opening match 1-0.
Galatasaray arrive in a strong position. The Turkish champions are on a five-match winning run in all competitions and extended their lead at the top of the Super Lig with a 3-0 win over Istanbul Basaksehir.
They also carry confidence from their defensive record against Liverpool this season, having kept clean sheets in both meetings.
However, their away record in this competition is a concern. Galatasaray have lost 19 of their last 23 away matches in the Champions League and have won just once in their last 12 trips to England.
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Team news
Liverpool are expected to restore several first-choice players. Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike and Ibrahima Konaté are all in line to start after limited minutes at the weekend.
Dominik Szoboszlai has been a key contributor in Europe this season and is expected to continue in an advanced role.
Galatasaray will be without Davinson Sánchez through suspension, while Victor Osimhen remains their primary attacking threat with seven Champions League goals this season.
The takeaway
Liverpool’s home record gives them a strong platform to overturn the deficit, but Galatasaray have already shown they can limit chances. Expect a high-tempo contest where the hosts push early, with qualification likely decided late in the match.
Photo: REUTERS/Guglielmo Mangiapane
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