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Serie A round 28 – value bets

The battle for Serie A title glory this season seems to have lost momentum after leaders Inter Milan opened up a staggering 10-point gap at the summit. 

Inter, who have 67 points, boast a huge gap between them and city rivals AC Milan who are in second. Napoli complete the top three places with 53 points ahead of this weekend’s action. 

Napoli will kick off round 28 with a Friday night clash against Torino, seeking revenge after losing the reverse fixture earlier on in the season. 

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With the title race seeming out of reach, the focus shifts to the race for European spots as well as the heated relegation battle at the opposite end of the table. We have a look at the top games lined up this weekend and offer our predicted outcome. 

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Napoli vs Torino – Friday, 10:45PM 

Even a victory here cannot take Napoli into the top three, however it would bring them to within a point of second place Milan with 56 points. The hosts snapped a three-game winless run to beat Hellas Verona 2-1 away from home in their last match. 

They face a Torino side who are fresh off a morale-boosting 2-0 win against Lazio, lifting them into 14th place with 30 points. 

Torino are looking to complete a league double over Napoli for the first time in almost two decades, after winning the reverse fixture 1-0 last October. 

Either side has two wins in their last five head-to-head encounters, with only one resulting in a 1-1 draw in 2024. 

Prediction – Napoli to win 

Atalanta vs Udinese – Saturday, 8PM 

Atalanta have the chance to sneak into the Serie A’s top five with victory here against Udinese. The home team are currently in seventh place with 45 points. 

This is a whole 10 points more than the visiting Udinese who are in 10th place. Nicolo Zaniolo was on target with the only goal the last time these sides met, with Udinese coming out 1-0 winners on the day. 

With two wins for either side in their last five head-to-head matches and one draw, this is not an easy match to predict. 

Gianluca Scamacca’s last three Serie A goals have come at home and he will be instrumental in the host’s attack. Atalanta have won all of their last five matches at home, giving them the edge here as well. 

Prediction – Atalanta to win 

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Juventus vs Pisa – Saturday, 10:45PM

Times are getting beyond desperate for 19th place Pisa, who have 15 points from 27 games – with relegation looking more of a reality with every passing game. 

With 11 games left to play, Pisa need a miracle to save them from the jaws of relegation. It has now been 16 games since Pisa last tasted victory – a 1-0 win against Cremonese. 

They travel to a sixth-place Juventus with 47 points, who have also been on a poor run of form that has seen them lose grip on the competitive log. Juve have only won one Serie A game this year, a 4-1 demolition on Parma on January 2. 

Juve are coming off a thrilling 3-3 draw against AS Roma last time out, snapping a three-match losing streak – where they conceded 10 goals. 

Despite their inconsistency, Juve remain favorites to grind out a narrow win at home to keep their top six hopes alive. 

Prediction – Juventus to win 

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AC Milan vs Inter – Saturday, 10:45PM 

Both teams at the top of the Serie A table will battle it out in the biggest game of the weekend. This particular Derby della Madonnina has lost a little of its edge after Inter opened up a 10-point gap between them and their eternal rivals. 

Inter have 67 points, while Milan have 57 as both sides prepare for a mouthwatering battle at the San Siro. 

Cristian Pulisic was the hero the last time these sides met last November, with Milan winning 1-0 to maintain their recent superior record against their city rivals. Milan has won three of the last five head-to-head encounters, with the remaining two resulting in a draw. 

With one defeat in their last five matches, AC Milan come into the game on a better run of form which includes a 1-0 win against Cremonese in their last outing. Inter on the other hand were held to a barren draw by Como in the Coppa Italia semifinal first leg. 

One can never be certain about goals in this fixture but with Inter’s staggering 67 goals this season, they are tipped to at least get one and avoid defeat here. 

Prediction – Inter to win or draw (1X)

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